Large-Field GPP Breakdown: RBC Canadian Open

It is time for another week of PGA DFS, and this time, we’re headed up to Canada for some “international golf!” We are coming off a pretty wild week at the Memorial Tournament, where there was a playoff between J.T. Poston and Ryan Gerard for the win despite a stacked field, so I’m excited to see what wild things happen this week. While we did see some sweats last week, I don’t think we saw a bunch of huge screenshots despite Poston being one of the best plays on the slate, per our projections. It just goes to show how tough it is to win in DFS. Maybe this week we can lock Corey Conners like Discord user Studewood and see what happens.

The Memorial – Recap

The Memorial was a profitable tournament for me, which actually seems to be a trend. No wonder why it continues to be one of my favorite events of the year. While I turned a profit, I still haven’t hit the big one yet this year, but I’m feeling much more comfortable about my play over the last few weeks than I was early on in the year. Either way, the Memorial was interesting because Scottie Scheffler lineups ended up as the winner of a lot of large-field tournaments. But this wasn’t because of Scottie, as he posted a T12 result, but actually because his inclusion forced you into picking three $6K players with Tommy Fleetwood to make it work. It just so happened that Gerard, Poston, Eric Cole, Keegan Bradley, and Wyndham Clark were all priced in the low $7K or $6K ranges and provided ceiling performances. This is one of the big reasons why I like to avoid playing a bunch of $6K players in my non-Scottie lineups — it’s just so hard to beat him because of his level of consistency if the cheap guys do well. Let’s take a look at the winning lineup in the lotto:

• It was the aforementioned “Scottie + five losers” lineup, as THE Kyle would call it. This lineup featured no other players priced higher than $8K (J.J. Spaun) and a 13/8/7/7/6/6 build. This is one of the first times we’ve seen the lotto winner have this type of lineup when Scottie doesn’t have a true ceiling performance. I’m wondering if this will have an impact on the U.S. Open. 
• The lineup came in at a cumulative ownership of 75%, again within our Signature Event range of 70-90%. That being said, Scheffler did come up in ownership a little bit, so this lineup was likely on the cusp. Either way, it continues to be proven again and again that cumulative ownership ranges are a great way to start building your set.

We only have one Signature Event left on the schedule this year (Travelers), but rules for Signature Events have use in some other events like the BMW and other smaller events. Let’s continue to keep them in mind for the rest of the year. This week, however, we are back to a full-field event with a cut. Praise be.

RBC Canadian Open – Preview 

We head over to the Canadian Open, which will be the biggest national Open where the PGA Tour is involved outside of the majors. This event historically has been able to get some star power, probably because it’s right before the U.S. Open and provides the players one last tournament setting before the hardest major of the year. The RBC Canadian Open follows a cycle of courses, so we typically do not get the same type of event year over year. However, this year will be held at TPC Toronto, which we saw for the first time last year at this same event. Let’s take a quick look at the winner: