Episode Summary: OTA News & Silva Top-150 Update (June 17, 2026)
Adam Levitan and Evan Silva run through OTA and mini camp news and walk through the latest updates to Silva’s Top 150. Kenneth Walker III jumps to RB4 and No. 9 overall, with Evan believing the Chiefs’ offense will be built around him. Quentin Johnston gets a 25-spot bump to WR30 after Evan picked Brandon Thorn’s brain on the Mike McDaniel scheme with Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt healthy. And Alec Pierce’s surprise late-March left ankle surgery and 4-6 month rehab raises real questions for Colts pass catchers, opening the door for Josh Downs and Tyler Warren. Plus Tucker Kraft’s “Week 1 without restrictions” claim, Cam Skattebo’s backflips, RJ Harvey’s labrum surgery, A.J. Brown moving up post-trade, and Rome Odunze moving down.
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Key Topics
- Biggest Silva 150 moves up: Kenneth Walker III to RB4 (No. 9 overall), Quentin Johnston up 25 spots to WR30, A.J. Brown to WR11 after the Patriots trade, Jayden Reed from WR38 to WR31, Chris Godwin up 18 spots to WR47, Omarion Hampton up to roughly even with market.
- Biggest moves down and injury notes: Chris Olave from 16 to 19 overall, Rome Odunze from WR28 to WR34 on the foot issue, Alec Pierce 4-6 month rehab from left ankle surgery, RJ Harvey labrum surgery, Tucker Kraft and George Kittle targeting Week 1 returns.
Takeaway #1 (51:01): Kenneth Walker III jumps to RB4 and No. 9 overall — Evan thinks the Chiefs’ offense will be built around him
- Evan Silva: The Chiefs’ offense this year is going to be built around Kenneth Walker III. When Evan is drafting at the end of the first round, Walker is the player he wants to get. He is going to get him a decent amount with Walker at No. 9 overall as the RB4. The Chiefs are still debating who the No. 2 back is — Emari Demercado, Emmett Johnson — but Walker is rarely going to come off the field.
- Evan Silva: Andy Reid is smart enough not to put Walker in constant pass-protection situations, and they are going to get him the ball when he is in the game. The Chiefs have not had a good running back in a long time. Evan feels like the last good one was Kareem Hunt as a rookie when he led the NFL in rushing. Walker has shown he can catch the ball and that he is explosive. Patrick Mahomes coming off the injury, Rashee Rice coming off his own injury, and Travis Kelce getting really old all funnel volume to Walker.
- Adam Levitan: Adam’s favorite teams right now are when he gets Walker in the second round, and you can still get him there a lot. His only disagreement with Evan is that on pure passing downs, Walker struggles enough in pass protection that the Chiefs will take him off the field on 3rd-and-12 or 3rd-and-15. But on 3rd-and-5, they keep him in there. He can really catch the ball, and the Chiefs need playmakers so badly. Walker is probably Adam’s favorite Round 2 pick.
Takeaway #2 (55:13): Quentin Johnston jumps 25 spots after Evan picks Brandon Thorn’s brain
- Evan Silva: Evan moved Quentin Johnston from WR55 to WR30, way above market. At the ETR retreat, Evan made sure he sat next to Brandon Thorn in the car for an hour and a half. Thorn hangs out with NFL offensive linemen and offensive line coaches and knows more than 99.9% of the population about what is going on in the NFL. Thorn told Evan that Mike McDaniel’s scheme, plus the return of Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt, is going to be an absolute explosion. Evan bumped QJ up 74 spots in the Top 150.
- Evan Silva: Quentin Johnston has a first-round pedigree, took a really big step last year, and has massive touchdown-scoring potential. Evan also moved up Omarion Hampton, whom he came out too low on originally and thinks could score 15 touchdowns. He is okay being above market on Keaton Mitchell, in line with market on Hampton, and way above market on Johnston. This offense is going to go absolutely bonkers this year.
- Adam Levitan: The splits when Slater and Alt are both playing are massive, even in a small sample. Justin Herbert was shredding when those tackles were healthy. Adam has been taking some Tre’ Harris late, too. He would not be as high on Johnston as Silva, but he is okay with it. The McDaniel stuff and Herbert getting Ladd McConkey are reasons to want exposure across this group.
Takeaway #3 (0:00): Alec Pierce’s 4-to-6-month rehab opens the door for Josh Downs and Tyler Warren
- Evan Silva: Alec Pierce’s left ankle surgery with a 4-6 month rehab absolutely concerns Evan. To this point, Pierce has been a bit of a one-trick pony — a guy who does not run the full route tree. The thinking behind giving him the extension and letting Michael Pittman Jr. go was that Pierce could do more. Now he is losing opportunities to do that within the offense during the offseason, and Evan is not even 100% sure Pierce will be 100% by the time Week 1 rolls around.
- Evan Silva: This is one of the reasons Evan is really high on Josh Downs. Downs has a chance to lead the Colts in receiving this year. Tyler Warren is very much in that mix, too.
- Adam Levitan: Adam was already wary of Pierce given the open question of whether Pierce could expand his route tree, plus the volatility of Daniel Jones. Now you add the ankle surgery, and Adam is pretty concerned. ETR dropped Pierce to 87 overall in the DraftKings best ball ranks. Silva is still at 71. Adam continues to be high on Warren and Downs.
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About Establish The Run
Establish The Run was founded by Adam Levitan and Evan Silva, two of the most respected analysts in fantasy football and sports betting. ETR delivers high-quality, actionable analysis across season-long, best ball, DFS, and props.
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