Welcome to the third edition of GPP Leverage for the 2020-2021 NBA season. This article is going to be a catch-all space for my GPP thoughts. In most of the articles I’ll address some of the relevant GPP plays for that day’s slate, but some of the articles will be more focused on plays and others more focused on strategy. Today, I want to focus on a macro trend in the NBA and how it’s impacting DFS. Today, we’re going to focus on blowouts.
The start of the NBA season always comes with elevated variance as we’re learning how new rosters interact with one another, and try to differentiate which teams’ rotations are settled and which ones are fragile; but this season the variance has been elevated by a substantial increase in blowouts. The sample size is still relatively small but the differences are substantial.
Nathan Walker posted a few tweets to help illustrate the issue.