Welcome to the 15th edition of GPP Leverage for NFL DFS. This article is going to be a catch-all space for my GPP thoughts during the course of the NFL season. In this space, we’ll mix some macro and micro concepts to help improve your odds in tournaments. The goal is to differentiate your play in an intelligent and correlated way that gives you a better chance to get paid off when you’re right.
I think it’s important to note I’m not a football guy who plays DFS. I’m a professional DFS player who plays NFL. So my play is largely through the prism of using resources around me to do what I do best: Play the game of DFS within the context of the NFL. Whether this is you or you’re a football guy who has a better handle on the schemes and the mismatches, there should be something in here for you to improve your game as a DFS GPP player.
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WEEK 14 ANALYSIS
Back-to-back difficult weeks for Leverage put us on our first official “bad streak” of the season. Finding consistency in tournament results over a weekly sample is nearly impossible, but finding good angles to attack consistently is viable. For much of the season we were able to find strong points of leverage, underowned game stacks, and ways to further correlate our lineups. The last two weeks have been difficult ones for this column, especially when late news has removed a targeted option in each of the last two weeks (Ryan Fitzpatrick in Week 13 and Brandin Cooks in Week 14). The slates flipping on their head (copyright, Overzet, Peter) haven’t been the only issue for late-season contrarian play; the chalk has hit harder than it has all season. Last week the highest-owned players in the DraftKings Millionaire Maker performed as follows: