Welcome to the eighth edition of GPP Leverage for NFL DFS. This article is going to be a catch-all space for my GPP thoughts during the course of the NFL season. In this space, we’ll mix some macro and micro concepts to help improve your odds in tournaments. The goal is to differentiate your play in an intelligent and correlated way that gives you a better chance to get paid off when you’re right.
I think it’s important to note I’m not a football guy who plays DFS. I’m a professional DFS player who plays NFL. So my play is largely through the prism of using resources around me to do what I do best: Play the game of DFS within the context of the NFL. Whether this is you or you’re a football guy who has a better handle on the schemes and the mismatches, there should be something in here for you to improve your game as a DFS GPP player.
DFS Optimizer? We do not have an optimizer, but we have a promotional deal with FantasyLabs. For $30 per month, you will gain access to their optimizer and it will come pre-loaded with both ETR projections and Adam Levitan’s ownership projections. Click here for details.
WEEK 7 ANALYSIS
Week 7 was a good one for the Leverage column. As is usually the case in forecasting, we got a few things wrong (Latavius Murray didn’t work for Leverage off Kamara, ugly game stacks largely stayed ugly, secondary passing game options from chalk game stacks didn’t hit, and secondary high-priced RB options didn’t win tournaments), but we nailed the two rookie QB stacks (Herbert-Allen and Burrow-Higgins-Boyd) that were difference makers away from the chalk ARI-SEA stacks. I felt good about those recommendations working out and had some teams that funneled up as a result. They eventually got surpassed by Kyler Murray stacks but I had some of those funnel up as well.