Episode Summary: Market Monday – June 22 (June 22, 2026)
Adam Levitan returns with another Market Monday, breaking down six best ball ADP risers and fallers. He is still buying Chris Olave at 29 overall after the blood clot scare — ETR is at 25 overall on Olave thanks to the Kellen Moore offense and 10 dome games. He is fading Rachaad White as he climbs to 114, where the projectable snaps are real but the ceiling is low. Adam would rather take Ricky Pearsall, Matthew Golden, or J.K. Dobbins in that range. And he is fading Dak Prescott at 79, not because he dislikes Dak, but because he thinks the running quarterbacks (Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, Drake Maye) are going way too late. Plus Jalen Coker after his Panthers extension, Jaylen Warren versus Rico Dowdle in Pittsburgh, and Kenyon Sadiq as a deeper-league rookie TE stash.
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Key Topics
- Risers: Rachaad White up 4.2 spots to 114 overall on DraftKings, Jalen Coker up 1 spot to 128, and Jaylen Warren up 2.5 to 78.
- Fallers: Chris Olave down 1.7 spots to 29 overall, Dak Prescott down 2.3 to 79, and Kenyon Sadiq down 2.7 to 156.
Takeaway #1 (7:45): Chris Olave at 29 is still a buy; ETR remains at 25 overall on the Saints setup
- Olave missed Week 18 last season due to a blood clot in his lung. He was still dealing with it as of last week, per headlines, and has only been doing individual work at OTAs, which scared a lot of people. Then Nick Underhill tweeted that, actually, everything is going according to plan, Olave will be off the blood thinners on June 29, and he will be ready for the season. There is some risk on the blood-clot situation, but Adam suspects it is very small.
- ETR never really moved their rank on Olave, which has been aggressive during this entire process. ETR is at 25 overall on DraftKings on Olave. It is just an incredible setup. Kellen Moore is going to play fast, and Adam trusts his scheme to be efficient. The offensive line is getting Erik McCoy back, and they added David Edwards. 10 dome games.
- The schedule is very good. The pass rush and the corner play are likely to be bad for the Saints, setting up shootouts. Adam remains fine taking Olave at the 2-3 turn, especially on full-PPR sites like DraftKings.
Takeaway #2 (9:05): Adam is fading Dak Prescott at 79 because the running quarterbacks are going way too late
- Adam has been watching the quarterback ADPs pretty closely, waiting for some corrections, and maybe this is a start. Dak is a pure pocket passer who will need really strong volume and efficiency to beat out the ceiling outcomes of guys like Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, and the other dual threats.
- That is not to say Adam does not like Dak this season — he does. Dak is such a good bet to throw for 4,000+ yards and 30+ touchdowns. The Cowboys are going to run a ton of plays. Dak is also a good pick in best ball because he is highly correlated with his pass catchers once you get them.
- Adam’s issue with Dak is more the macro at quarterback this season. You’re telling Adam that Dak goes just one round later than Maye and just eight picks after Daniels? It is not that Dak is too high — the elite running quarterbacks are going too late. Adam has only been taking Dak when he gets CeeDee Lamb or George Pickens, and he has been taking Olave and Nico Collins over Pickens a decent amount. He would like to see the Pickens and Dak prices come down a little more.
Takeaway #3 (1:21): Rachaad White at 114 is becoming expensive relative to a really low ceiling
- The NFL did not think very highly of Rachaad White in free agency. He settled for a one-year contract with a base value of just $2 million from the Commanders — less than the Bucs are paying Sean Tucker to be their No. 3 running back. The reason the NFL does not love White is that he is not a needle mover. His calling card is pass catching and pass protection, but he is at 3.9 yards per carry for his career.
- White is getting steamed up in best ball simply because of projectable snaps. Jacory Croskey-Merritt is a zero in the passing game and a base back only. Kaytron Allen is a Round 6 rookie. The Commanders are extremely weak at wide receiver behind Terry McLaurin in theory, making White’s pass-catching ability a priority. Adam agrees White will lead this backfield in snaps by a wide margin, especially with the Commanders’ win total around seven and likely trailing a lot.
- White is a sneakier, better-in-best-ball example. You do not want to start him in your season-long league — there is not a huge ceiling. From a usable-week perspective, could he catch 50+ balls and 7-8 carries a game? Certainly. Adam was taking White when he was going in the 130s and 120s and he needed a back. At 114, it is a much tougher sell. He wants to be going upside wide receiver in that range with Ricky Pearsall or Matthew Golden, and making sure he is getting quarterback before it falls off a cliff. If he is going running back there, he prefers J.K. Dobbins over White.
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About Establish The Run
Establish The Run was founded by Adam Levitan and Evan Silva, two of the most respected analysts in fantasy football and sports betting. ETR delivers high-quality, actionable analysis across season-long, best ball, DFS, and props.
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