We’re on to Week 13 where the Offensive Rookie of the Year is all but won, while every other market remains undecided. First, we’ll discuss a few value options in the MVP and Coach of the Year markets. Then we’ll dive into some notes on the MVP, Comeback Player of the Year, Offensive Player of the Year, and Defensive Player of the Year awards markets.
MVP: Brock Purdy (+650 to +1700 DraftKings)
Purdy leads the league in rating and QBR while being just slightly off the pace in touchdowns and EPA. If the favored 49ers beat the Eagles this Sunday, Purdy could move to the top of this race.
MVP: Trevor Lawrence (+2000 to +4000 Caesars)
Lawrence is off the pace statistically, but his 8-3 Jaguars have a realistic path to the AFC’s top seed. If you want a deep longshot in the MVP race, Lawrence has a cleaner path than either Josh Allen or Jared Goff. Allen’s obstacle is team success while Goff plays for the NFC’s fourth-best team.
Coach of the Year: Mike Tomlin (+1200 to +2000 BetMGM)
Of all the active coaches in the league that have not won Coach of the Year, Tomlin deserves it more than anyone. If Dan Campbell’s Lions are eligible to win this race, the Steelers are in the same position having gone 9-7 without making the playoffs last year. The Steelers enter a four-game stretch against the Cardinals, Patriots, Colts, and the Joe Burrow-less Bengals.
Coach of the Year: Shane Steichen (+800 to +1600 BetMGM)
The Colts would make the playoffs if the season ended today, and that’s absolutely remarkable. What’s even more interesting for awards bettors is that 6-5 Indianapolis has a remaining schedule of: at Titans, at Bengals, vs. Steelers, at Falcons, vs. Raiders, and vs. Texans. This Colts team has a realistic path to 10 wins, and Steichen has a traditional Coach of the Year profile.
Awards Market Notes
No one is having a traditional MVP season from a production standpoint, except Dak Prescott (+1000). The schedule starts to stiffen for Dallas over the next few weeks, but Prescott checks the most boxes among MVP contenders.
Jalen Hurts (+150) headlines the team with the best record in the league, but he’s still slightly off the pace in every statistical category that matters aside from touchdowns. Lamar Jackson (+400) has team success on his side, but from a production standpoint, he continues to be
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