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In my last two articles I revealed my TE targets and fades for the early-rounds and the middle-rounds using a methodology I created from PFF’s Yards per Route Run (YPRR) data. That methodology buckets TEs into four groups, and uses slightly different criteria to find target profiles for each group. The stats I’m using for these evaluations are the two stats that make up YPRR: Targets per Route Run (TPRR) and Yards per Target (YPT).

Groupings:

  1. Stud TEs coming off at least their second season of 200+ TE Premium points
    1. TPRR 18%+ ; YPT 7.5+
  2. Emerging TEs coming off their first elite season
    1. TPRR 20%+ ; YPT 7.5+
  3. Bounce-back / Yet-to-breakout veteran TEs coming off a non-elite season
    1. TPRR 20%+ ; YPT 8+
  4. TEs entering Year two or three
    1. TPRR 16%+ ; YPT 8+

(Min. 150 routes for all groups)

Below I’ve covered the TEs for remainder of the draft.

(The targets totals I refer to below are from PFF).

 

Jonnu Smith, TEN – FFPC ADP: 10.06
Group 3: Yet-to-breakout TE

Jonnu Smith falls short of our target criteria with a 2019 TPRR of 18.3%. He was impressively efficient however with a YPT of 10.0. Moreover, after Delanie Walker was injured, Smith’s TPRR jumped to 20.8%. So in projecting his role going forward, he looks like a target.

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