Whatever opinion you had about how Leonard Fournette would fare in Jacksonville is irrelevant now. All that matter is how we think he’ll fare in Tampa.
And that’s really the story at the running back position, where opportunity is virtually the only thing that matters. Touches – particularly targets and touches inside the 10-yard line – have by far the biggest correlation to fantasy points. So what kind of opportunity is Uncle Lenny looking at in Tampa?
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Obviously Fournette will be eased in a bit as he’s joining the team just a week before the season starts. But before September is over, I’d expect him to be the 1A and Ronald Jones to be the 1B. While Fournette certainly leaves a lot to be desired in today’s NFL, Jones is no stud. He couldn’t separate from Peyton Barber on early downs or Dare Ogunbowale on pass downs last year. It’s not like Fournette joined the Chiefs where Clyde Edwards-Helaire would clearly be a better option for the offense, or the Eagles where Miles Sanders would run circles around him.
On pass downs, I eventually expect Fournette to compete with current pass-down back Ogunbowale for work. That’s an