Next up for the awards market previews is the Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year races. We’ll go over recent trends, value options, and some insights on several players in these markets. My MVP Market Preview can be read here.
| DraftKings Offensive Player of the Year Odds as of Aug. 26 | ||
| Tyreek Hill +700 | Christian McCaffrey +850 | CeeDee Lamb +1000 |
| Ja’Marr Chase +1200 | Justin Jefferson +1300 | Breece Hall +1500 |
| Bijan Robinson +1800 | Amon-Ra St. Brown +2000 | Saquon Barkley +2200 |
| Jonathan Taylor +2800 | Puka Nacua +2800 | Jahmyr Gibbs +2800 |
| Garrett Wilson +3000 | A.J. Brown +3500 | Kyren Williams +4000 |
| Drake London +5000 | Derrick Henry +5000 | Deebo Samuel +5000 |
Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY) Trends
- Historically, this has been the most erratic awards race.
- Quarterbacks and running backs have won most of the OPOY races.
- There hasn’t been a back-to-back OPOY winner since Marshall Faulk won the OPOY three years in a row from 1999-2001.
- MVP quarterbacks have also won the OPOY in the same year.
- Non-MVP quarterbacks have won the OPOY.
- Running backs and wide receivers have won the OPOY.
- However, a skill-position player has won each of the last five OPOY races and six of the last seven.
- Not only did each of those five skill players play for teams that made the playoffs, but each of those teams won their division.
- Two running backs and three wide receivers have won the OPOY over the last five years.
What We’re Looking for in an OPOY Candidate
This may change because this has been an erratic race over time, but when I make an OPOY bet, I’m betting on a skill player that plays on a playoff-caliber team that can conceivably finish the year as the top producer at their position.
OPOY Value Options
A.J. Brown (+1800 to +3500 DraftKings)
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